News broke the other day that the Jacksonville Jaguars are attempting to trade defensive tackle Malik Jackson and running back Carlos Hyde, via Adam Schefter of ESPN.
Jaguars are attempting to trade DT Malik Jackson and RB Carlos Hyde, per league sources, two players that some believe could be productive with the right opportunities. Jacksonville aiming to strike agreements that can be processed when the league year opens March 13.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 2, 2019
It’s hard to assume Hyde will have much of a trade market whatsoever. Jacksonville sent the Cleveland Browns a 2019 5th round pick for Hyde’s services, and in return the Jaguars got 3.3 yards per carry – 189 yards on 58 carries – and zero touchdowns in eight games. Hyde was made inactive in the Jaguars’ Week 15 game against Washington, and speculation from the media would indicate it was due to Hyde refusing to dress for the game after expressing frustration with his role.
If a team trades anything other than a 2020 conditional late-round pick for Hyde, consider it a win.
However, Malik Jackson is another story.
Jackson, who signed a six year, $85.5 million contract with Jacksonville in 2016, is quietly still one of the best pass rushing defensive tackles in the NFL. According to Pro Football Focus, Jackson finished the 2018 season with 53 QB pressures, which ranks 9th amongst NFL defensive tackles. What makes that more impressive is that he did that on 388 pass snaps, which ranks 28th among all defensive tackles. On the right side of 30 (he turned 29 in January), and considering his production level, Jackson is a player with a lot of juice left who can contribute to a team’s pass rush for another couple of years.
While Jackson’s cap hit for the three remaining years on his contract look scary at first – $11 million in 2019, $13.75 million in 2020 and 2021 – his remaining guarantees (a whopping $4 million in total) would not transfer in a trade. Jacksonville is left with those guarantees as a “dead cap” hit. If the trade is made before June 1st, the Jaguars would have a dead cap hit of $4 million on the 2019 cap table. After June 1st – $2 million in 2019, $2 million in 2020. And the team that receives Jackson would owe him $0 in guarantees. Zero. Zilch. Nothing.
Considering how contract restructures work in the modern NFL, it’s crazy to assume Jackson wouldn’t be willing to do just that. Often, a percentage of the player’s yearly salary (the cap hit) is converted into a signing bonus that is guaranteed, and is prorated over the length of the deal to limit cap space implications. It benefits both sides: The player gets guaranteed money, and the team creates cap space.
It’s safe to assume Jackson would like to add some guarantees to his deal, since he’d have none with a new team and would still have three years remaining on his contract. Sure, he’d have to take a bit of a yearly paycut, but in return he guarantees himself millions of dollars over the next three years. Hypothetically, if he was hurt in his first game with a new team, said team could release him and he’d only ever receive that one game check. So, any team that trades for Jackson would most likely be able to restructure Jackson’s deal to prorate a signing bonus guarantee over the remainder of his contract, and lower his cap hit each year.
And if Jackson decided that he didn’t want to take a paycut? He would simply get cut and receive nothing more than the $4 million Jacksonville owes him, and hope that a team would give him comparable money on the open market. Despite the interest he should receive on the trade market, it’s hard to assume teams would drive up his price in a bidding war for his third contract. It’d be in his best interest to restructure.
With all of this in mind, what could Jackson’s market look like? Who needs interior pass rush help, and has enough cap space to bring Jackson in, restructure or not?
2019 cap space: $106,411,235
The Colts have the most cap in the NFL, a huge need for interior pass rush, and nine draft picks in the upcoming NFL Draft. Their leading interior defensive lineman in terms of pass rush production was Denico Autry, who recorded eight sacks and 34 pressures when playing inside in 2018 according to PFF. While those numbers are nice, there’s a serious drop off after Autry, and considering Autry was used as a chesspiece across the line, the Colts could use a true 3-technique tackle like Jackson for constant interior pressure.
At pick #26 in the 1st round, the Colts are far out of reach from top defensive tackle prospects such as Alabama’s Quinnen Williams and Michigan’s Rashan Gary, and have plenty of needs across the roster they could utlize that pick on. With two 4th round picks and an abundance of cap space, Indianapolis are an easy fit for Jackson’s services. Odds are, the Colts won’t find an interior pass rusher of Jackson’s caliber with the 136th pick in the draft, so shipping their 4th round compensatory pick to Jacksonville would be a good deal for both sides.
2019 cap space: $79,149,465
The Browns, much like the Colts, have money to burn. On top of their nearly $80 million in cap space, the Browns also have 10 draft picks, and a roster that is talented enough to compete with Baker Mayfield entering his first full season as the starting quarterback. Given all of this offseason arsenal, it’s easy to peg the Browns as playoff contenders in 2019 (woah, that feels weird to type), so long as they utilize their assets correctly this offseason.
While their primary edge rusher position is filled by 2017 first overall pick Myles Garrett who has 20.5 sacks in his first two seasons, only one defensive lineman had double digit pressures for the Browns in 2018, that being second year defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi with 36. There’s been discussions of the Browns using their 17th overall pick to help boost their pass rush, but mocks have typically pointed towards them going with an edge rusher to create a tandem with Garrett on the outside.
If Cleveland is set on creating a dynamic edge tandem, then sliding Malik Jackson in at defensive tackle in a rotation with Ogunjobi, as well as creating packages with both players on the field, would create pure havoc against opposing offensive lines and quarterbacks. As Cleveland is a pretty young team, an experienced veteran such as Jackson, who has a Super Bowl and multiple playoff appearances under his belt during his career, would be a nice bonus on top of his production.
In hindsight, the Browns fleeced the Jaguars in trading Carlos Hyde to Jacksonville for a 5th round pick. It would honestly be a win for Jacksonville if they could get that pick (#145) back in return for Jackson. As the Browns currently own three 5th round picks, this should be doable.
Los Angeles Chargers
2019 cap space: $22,523,868
Unlike the teams mentioned above, the Chargers don’t have an abundance of cash to spend or a ton of draft picks to ship away. However, they still should be a top candidate for Malik Jackson’s services.
The Chargers are in win-now mode. Philip Rivers is 37 years old, and while he’s still playing good football at this stage in his career, he isn’t getting any younger – and he’s currently playing on one of the most talented Chargers teams he’s ever had. Coming off of a 12-4 season and making it to the Divisional round of the 2018-19 NFL playoffs, the Chargers need to nail their upcoming offseason in order to keep competitive in the AFC before age starts to catch up with Rivers.
The Chargers could opt to bring back defensive tackles Darius Philon (26 pressures in 2018) and 34 year old Brandon Mebane (eight pressures in 13 games), who are both set to be free agents, but why not totally upgrade the defensive tackle position? Both players are solid in their roles, but neither offer the pass rush production that Jackson does. Pairing Jackson with defensive ends Joey Bosa (six sacks and 28 pressures in only seven games) and Melvin Ingram (nine sacks and 64 pressures) would be deadly.
Oh, and Bosa is entering the fourth year of his rookie deal. The Chargers will likely pick up his fifth year option to postpone paying him top-pass rusher money and spend that money to win in a short window of opportunity, but that clock is really ticking.
Jackson’s fit with the Chargers and his ability to help them win now should be enough for the Chargers to engage in trade talks. And the cherry on top? The Chargers defensive coordinator is none other than former Jaguars head coach Gus Bradley, who helped recruit Jackson to Jacksonville in 2016. So there’s dots to connect.
Los Angeles’ 4th round pick (#131) is the sweet spot, as it’s a late pick in the round and the Chargers won’t find a defensive tackle who can produce as much as Jackson does in their window of opportunity that late in the draft.
REPORT: Jaguars re-sign tight end James O’Shaughnessy
The Jaguars have re-signed tight end James O’Shaughnessy according to a report released by the team. O’Shaughnessy now re-joins a group that includes newly signed tight end Geoff Swaim, Ben Koyack, and Pharoah McKever.
— #DUUUVAL (@Jaguars) March 21, 2019
This is great news for the Jaguars tight end group. O’Shaughnessy was a reliable receiving threat for the Jaguars last season, although he was horribly underutilized.
This adds some continuity into the room with Ben Koyack as the only Jaguars tight end with in-game experience with the team. O’Shaughnessy accounted for 24 receptions for 214 yards last season. O’Shaughnessy’s only other reported interest in free agency has been with the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Look for the Jaguars to continue to upgrade the tight end position during the draft later this offseason.
2019 Jaguars NFL Draft Profile: Iowa tight end T.J. Hockenson
After months of quarterback scouting that have all become relatively moot, it’s time to start going in-depth at other positions of need for the Jacksonville Jaguars here at Locked On Jaguars.
With quarterback Nick Foles in the fold after signing a four year, $88 million deal with the Jaguars last week, it’s safe to assume quarterback is just about out of the picture for the team’s seventh overall selection in next month’s NFL Draft. Sure, the Jaguars could elect to draft a QB to backup Foles and eventually utilize the two-year “out” to usher in his heir, but that seems highly unlikely at this point. Jacksonville paid Foles to be their franchise quarterback, and they must build around him immediately to get things back on track.
In which case, the Jaguars need to add weapons on offense. During his time in Philadelphia over the past two years, Foles has targeted tight ends on 33% of his 296 passing attempts. It helps that the Eagles had multiple talented TEs on their roster during that time in Zach Ertz, Trey Burton, Brent Celek, and Dallas Goedert, but the Jaguars must attempt to replicate the tight end production Foles had that helped him find so much success.
T.J. Hockenson from the University of Iowa can immediately provide a spark at the tight end position and replicate that formula.
The redshirt sophomore burst onto the scene during the 2018 season, hauling in 49 receptions for 760 yards and six touchdowns in Iowa’s 52.9%-to-47.1% run-to-pass offense. Iowa ran a ton of multiple tight end sets, mainly 12-personnel (1 RB/2 TE), in order to add bodies to the tackle box for the run game and best utilize both Hockenson and fellow Hawkeyes tight end Noah Fant – who, like Hockenson, is a projected first round pick. The two tight ends combined for 88 receptions, 1279 yards, and 13 touchdowns in 2018.
The differences between Hockenson and Fant, which were drawn out well by my friend Ryan Keiran of PatsPulpit.com, are their playstyles at the same general position. Fant is going to be a dynamic receiving tight end on a bit of an NFL learning curve as he is far from a polished blocker, who is best utilized as the new “big-slot” TE that the NFL is beginning to transition towards.
I’ll do a full film review on Fant at another time here at Locked On Jaguars, but my early take is he’s an Evan Engram-style of tight end who would benefit from a pass-happy, vertical offense. Not all of these teams need a tight end, but the Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts, Seattle Seahawks and Tampa Bay Buccaneers would be great fits for Fant who could move him around and play him vertically.
Hockenson is much more universal in terms of scheme fit. He’s athletic enough to play vertically, like Fant, fluid and explosive enough to win in the underneath game, and is the best run-blocking tight end prospect I’ve ever evaluated. And that last nugget is something that will undoubtedly catch the eye of the power-run heavy Jacksonville Jaguars.
Let’s get to the film. Be prepared – there’s really no negative aspects to his game.
I typically don’t clip up a lot of run blocking plays for film reviews, because you can usually get a good feel for a player’s ability in that aspect from a couple of early-down reps.
But good lord, T.J. Hockenson makes run blocking a sport of it’s own – and he’s a first-team All Pro in it.
Hockenson’s pure strength and explosion into his block is enough to “wow” you from an entertainment perspective, but his technique makes the difference between a “good” block, and the “great” block that leads to him driving the defensive end 10 yards backwards and into the turf. His fluid explosion through contact out of his three point stance creates instant pad-level leverage by getting the DE vertical. Hockenson maintains the lower pad-level and his strong hands stick in the chest frame despite the defender attempting to wiggle himself free like a fish in a fishnet.
You’ll never, ever see Hockenson quit on a block until the whistle is blown. His rep is won by the time the standing EDGE defender crosses the numbers at the top of the field, but Hockenson drives him out of bounds and into the sideline area a yard behind the line of scrimmage. When Jaguars Executive Vice President of Football Operations Tom Coughlin stated “I suggest we adopt the term ‘grit’ as a way to define ourselves,” at the Jaguars’ State of the Franchise press conference in 2017, plays like this are what he was referring to.
Hockenson plays with grit on every snap.
Hockenson is more than just an in-line blocker. He’s equally as dominant as a space blocker, which will reap benefits for a team that will use him in pass protection vs. loaded boxes and blitz. Diagnose this look as Cover 2-man underneath with the MIKE linebacker responsible for Hockenson (hovering over the left tackle behind the DE). The MIKE reads pass from the QB – the play was a QB draw – and gets his eyes up to Hockenson quickly, but even with eyes on the tight end, the MIKE was unable to stand his ground from the bulldozer of a blocking tight end and eats dirt. It’s the same thing over and over again, whether it’s in-line or out in space – Hockenson wins with a fantastic combination of athleticism and technique which cements his high floor as a blocker at the NFL level.
Hockenson’s technique becomes important when taking on rush and disengaging moves from opposing rushers and defenders. Hockenson wins with initial leverage and hand placement, but the defender gets an arm free to attempt top rip out Hockenson’s arms. But with the lower pad level, Hockenson can get his disengaged arm back up-and-under through the rip and back into the defenders chest, and turn him 180 degrees away from the play.
The next six clips will be the last of Hockenson’s blocking breakdown before moving to his receiving ability, all displaying his ability to seal-block on designed runs and backfield throws to completely open up the field. This obviously requires the previously stated technique and strength through blocks, but the processing speed to diagnose his responsibilities and time his blocks, as a lead-block from H-back/fullback, in-line, and out in space. He can do it all.
Simply put: Enjoy.
You’ve probably had a lot of fun watching T.J. Hockenson, the blocker, so far… (or maybe not, and maybe I’m just a football nerd).
But I promise you, that’s not all the Iowa product has to offer. The Jaguars prioritize the ability to run block in their tight ends, but in today’s NFL, tight ends need to contribute significantly as receiving threats in order to be considered dynamic.
Hockenson hasn’t mastered all nine routes of the route tree, but he’s proven he can win multiple routes in all three levels of the playing field. His athletic testing results (see below) also offer promise that Hockenson can develop on just about any route there is, too. It’s not that Hockenson struggled with certain routes – he just wasn’t asked to run them in Iowa’s run-heavy offense.
His high-pointing ability wasn’t often utilized at Iowa given their run-heavy philosophy, but the talent, size, and technique is there for Hockenson to be the redzone threat the Jaguars have desperately been searching for.
Hockenson squeezes through a tight, two-defender gap on an outside release with explosion off the line in order to breeze by the coverage LB and separate despite little field room in the redzone. The QB lofts a ball to the back of the endzone, and Hockenson’s mix of technique and athleticim finishes the rep. He identifies the ball and times his full-body extension at the top of his vertical jump in order to get both hands on this ball and bring it down in bounds without ever letting the closing defender have a chance to make a recovery play.
In order to win in contested areas such as the redzone, fighting through contact and adjusting to throws is as important as anything. Being nearly 6-5 with a 90th percentile vertical jump (see his athletic profile later in the report) is obviously a benefit in this category, but Hockenson has the natural ability to fight for and win contested throws across the field.
Hockenson releases inside to draw the linebacker off of the seam that he intends to get vertical before breaking into a post on a deep mesh concept to keep the safety modest. This is a well-run, pro-style yet schemed-open route that Hockenson can win on at the next level, but the play turns into a YOLO-pass. The QB scrambles left with pressure closing in, and lets this ball rip back towards the middle of the field where Hockenson is playing the scramble drill back towards the left side of the field. He tracks this underthrown ball while navigating back to the side he came from, fights through contact and comes down with a huge gain on what was on pace to become a 4th-and-long punt.
If the Jaguars intend on running the similar, if not the same, passing concepts with Foles in the fold, then plays like this are important in Hockenson’s evaluation – winning in the short-to-intermediate levels of the passing field. Otherwise known as the routes that make a West Coast offense operate.
Hockenson possesses the explosion off the line and agility to maintain speed through his turns in the route to operate in a timing-based passing offense which can be seen in the fluidity of his release from the slot anf through the deep crossing route – a staple of Jacksonville’s offense over the past two years. And with clean footowork, Hockenson cleanly separates with hip fluidity and no wasted movement as soon as the defender begins to pedal vertically again. So long as the QB leads this ball (after years of watching a QB fail to do so, it’ll be a sigh of relief to see that from Foles), this is a yards-after-catch route that Hockenson would wreak havoc with in the Jaguars’ WCO-offense.
Did someone mention yards after the catch?
Hockenson does a great job at keeping his feet underneath him through vertical route breaks, with no wasted movement whatsoever in order to maintain a comfy cushion from the coverage defender. And once again, this is a timing route based off of play action with a relatively immediate release at the top of the route.
And your arm tackles will do nothing to slow down the Hock. He’s a yards after catch and yards through contact machine.
This rep was just disrespectful, and provides another feel for how Hockenson can transcend the offense beyond WCO concepts and integrate some vertical philosophies.
Hockenson lines up in-line in 23 personnel (2 RB/3 TE) – this looks like it’ll be a run play or short-field pass off play-action to get an easy 3rd and 1 conversion, right?
The outside TEs in Hockenson (to the weak side of the formation) and Fant (strong-side – safety help follows) run a Yankee concept that acts like a deep mesh pattern between the most outside players in the formation, getting vertical up the seam and crossing. With the one-on-one matchup and a rub to benefit from, Hockenson gets wide open and the safety tries to recover as the top of the defense is exposed at the rub.
What makes this rep so disrespectful? Watch the second half of the clip. Hockenson wins route-running leverage vs. his man coverage defender by running an inside release. With so many defenders in the box that make an inside release difficult to manuever, Hockenson literally pulls a swim move on the play-action-biting stack linebacker (#14) and breezes to the middle of the field, easily separating from the man-cover #25.
To begin this crucial 4th and 8 rep, with under a minute left in the game tied 28-28, it’s obviously clutch of Hockenson to make a backside sliding catch to get both across the line-to-gain and into field goal range. That’s just a given.
But his explosion off the line of scrimmage is real. Sure, he plays the line at the snap compared to the top outside WR, but to be three yards removed vertically post-snap before the shorter-build, assumptively quicker and nimbler even crosses the line is impressive for any tight end. And Hockenson matches his LOS burst with a fluid hip-turn at the top of this curl to ensure separation from a breaking safety on the most important play of the game up until this point. The QB getting the ball out late eliminates some of that separation, but Hockenson held up to his end of the deal with ease.
Athletic profile (via MockDraftable.com)
Hockenson offers typical height for the tight end position, but based on his NFL Combine testing, he comes in slightly underweight and with below-average length compared to the average NFL TE.
As mentioned while describing his redzone touchdown catch above, however, Hockenson has legitimate athleticism to cover for his lack of elite size at the position. His vertical (37 1/2″) and broad (123″) rank in the 90th and 91st percentiles among NFL TEs in MockDraftable’s database that has collected testing numbers dating back to the 1999 NFL Draft class.
His top speed comes in above average as well, as he recorded a 4.7s 40 yard dash (68th percentile). This is a huge benefit for any team looking to add some vertical field stretching via Hockenson, and if Jacksonville wants to catch teams off guard beyond their traditional WCO passing concepts, Hockensons’s skillset + measurables give them that flexibility.
Last but not least, Hockenson’s 77th percentile, 7.02s 3 cone drill is a cherry on top. A widely praised drill for testing a players ability to change direction, the Jaguars brass is likely salivating at this number. As mentioned previously, Jacksonville’s WCO concepts require short-field route running and the ability to create YAC in a timing-based play. These factors require twitch and quickness from a change-of-direction standpoint. Hockenson’s 3-cone drill proves one thing: He’s anything but stiff, and at bare minimum he can fit the Jaguars current mold as a receiving TE.
What’s nice is that’s just his floor, and his ceiling can provide so, so much more.
Listen, I understand that selecting a tight end in the top 10 is pretty uncommon, but it isn’t unheard of. Eric Ebron (10th overall, 2014), Vernon Davis (6th overall, 2006), Kellen Winslow Jr. (6th overall, 2004) are the most recent to be selected that high.
Winslow Jr. suffered two early setbacks with a broken leg two games into his rookie season and a torn ACL knocking him out of his second season, but currently ranks 31st all-time in receiving yards among TEs. Assuming he met his career average 650 yards per season in those nearly two fully missed seasons, Winslow would rank 13th all-time in the same category. He was worth the selection in hindsight.
Davis, who is still active today and plays for the Washington Redskins (he played his first 9 1/2 seasons with the San Francisco) currently ranks 9th in all time receiving yards among TEs with 7439. He was worth the selection in hindsight.
Ebron… is a bit of a different story. He’s entering his sixth season in the NFL and looked like a bust with the Detroit Lions, recording 186 catches for 2070 yards and 11 touchdowns in four years there. However, Ebron signed with the Indianapolis Colts this past season, and tore his bust label to shreds. He more than doubled his career touchdowns with 13 alone in 2018, along with 66 receptions for 750 yards – both career highs. The jury is not out on whether or not Ebron’s ability and skillset were worth his selection.
Forget what I said in the introduction about run-blocking: T.J. Hockenson is the best tight end prospect I’ve ever evaluated, period. He’s also the safest offensive player in this draft, and considering the traditional NFL learning curve at the tight end, it’s really rare to ever hear that label being thrown around at the position.
His combination of poise as a blocker in all facets as well as extremely high floor in the pass game for an offense stylized like Jacksonville’s absolutely makes him worth their 7th overall pick, and the Jaguars’ dire need of a tight end right now only further solidifies that.
Quarterback Nick Foles will need as many weapons as he can get here in Jacksonville to get this Jaguars team steered straight. Considering his success in Philadelphia with tight ends, it’s incredibly difficult to assume T.J. Hockenson wouldn’t be one of Foles’ most trusted receiving targets, and as a whole Jacksonville’s most important non-QB offensive player given his immense skill-set as a contributor to the run and the pass game.
REPORT: Jaguars officially sign former Packers LB Jake Ryan
The Jaguars have officially signed former Packers ILB Jake Ryan. While it was reported on Saturday, the Jaguars would be signing the linebacker, there was still a physical pending. Ryan tore his ACL prior to the 2019 season and is still in the middle of his rehab. Today, the Jaguars made it official.
Officially signed ✒️
— #DUUUVAL (@Jaguars) March 19, 2019
Ryan was signed to a 2-year $8M contract with an option during the 2020 season according to Aaron Wilson of the Houston Chronicle. The contract is similar to the contract Austin Seferian-Jenkins deal from last season which essentially boils down to a 1-year prove-it deal.
Jake Ryan (Jaguars), $8M, $1M gtd, $500K signing bonus, salaries $1M ($500K gtd), $5.5M; $31,250 per game active annual, 2020 is option to be exercised prior to 22nd day before 2020 lg yr, if exercised $1M of salary gtd, $1.75M annual playtime incentive
— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) March 19, 2019
Ryan adds another proven veteran linebacker to a group which lacks experience. Before the signing, the Jaguars linebackers on the team were Myles Jack, Telvin Smith, Donald Payne, Blair Brown, Donald Payne, Leon Jacobs, and Nick Deluca. None of them have had much if any experience at the MLB position.
Ryan started 27 games in three seasons with the Packers prior to his injury. He has totaled 213 combined tackles in his career. That is plenty of experience added to the Jaguars linebacker group ahead of the 2019 season. It would not surprise me to see the Jaguars continue to add to the position via the NFL Draft.
It is also worth noting Telvin Smith’s contract cap number reaches its highest point next year ($12.8M). It is possible — if Ryan performs well — for the Jaguars to move on from Smith and move Myles Jack back to his more natural position. Myles Jack will be entering the final year of his rookie contract this season.
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