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2019 Jaguars NFL Draft Profile: Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray

Zach Goodall



Dec 29, 2018; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Kyler Murray (1) throws a touchdown pass against Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Levi Draper (30) during the third quarter of the 2018 Orange Bowl college football playoff semifinal game at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Perhaps the most controversial prospect in the 2019 NFL Draft class, Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray enters as one of the most talented players at his position in what is a relatively weak quarterback group.

That isn’t an indictment of his talent, but rather, it’s safe to assume in previous classes with more talent that his “red flags” (and I hate that term, because his listed size of 5-10, 195 lbs isn’t truly a “red flag” – but for lack of a better word) would be picked apart and he’d likely fall down boards a bit. But without a ton of competition in this class, Murray’s stock, despite his size and his questionable pre-draft interviews about his commitment to football, is rising – quickly.

That brings us to the sixth QB scouting report this year. Let’s dive in on Kyler Murray.

Arm talent

The fact of the matter – despite any “red flag” planted on Kyler Murray’s draft résumé – is that the Oklahoma product has a hell of an arm, especially for someone of his stature.

So let’s kill any “Murray is a run-first” quarterback talk pronto. Thankfully, that isn’t too much of a discussion from what I’ve read compared to Lamar Jackson last year, but highly-athletic quarterbacks with rushing stat lines like Murray’s – 140 carries for 1001 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2018 – typically get hit with that label from folks who don’t study tape.

With the defensive end off of Murray’s right side going untouched to create pressure on play-action, Murray evades after first getting his eyes downfield. He keeps them on the developing post route despite a clear rushing lane that, with his athleticism and ability to make one-on-one defenders miss, Murray could have utilized to potentially gain a first down. Then, Murray makes a 55 air-yard throw off of his backfoot – without ever setting his base – leading his receiver on the post in double coverage for a huge touchdown. Beautiful ball placement, with perfect touch and velocity to get the pass where it needed to be for a score – rather than taking an easy scramble.

On a designed roll-out, Murray finds a field opening near the boundary for his deep receiver on a two-route read with an underneath receiver being covered well out of his break on the short out-route. He quickly resets his feet and launches this pass to the boundary outside of the route, and the ball is placed where only the receiver can make the grab before going out of bounds. The ball placement is absolutely unreal.

The confidence level to squeeze this ball between a man coverage defender and a closing safety over the top up the seam is extremely high, and Murray makes it look easy. He couldn’t have thrown this any better.

Murray scans the field right to left to let the deep post develop and maintains active feet in his pocket off of play-action. He remains calm with eyes down the field despite pressure coming off of both edges and drops a dime to the middle of the field without total balance. The pass goes just off of the finger tips of his receiver – I believe this is caught at thee next level with better timing from a more matured receiver, but if Murray’s feet totally set then this is probably completed in stride. Regardless, it’s a really nice throw with true pocket poise.

Murray truly puts this pass where his receiver and only his receiver can play it. From the left-side hash, Murray lets it rip at the top of his dropback with a fantastic combination of velocity and loft to continue leading his receiver to the boundary outside and away from the defender in man coverage. The typical eye will say the receiver adjusting to the ball outside means the placement was off but I thoroughly disagree, Murray put this ball right where he wanted it. And considering the distance he had to cover from the hash all the way to the opposite boundary, and the little field-room he had to work with to ensure only the WR could play this? Murray’s arm is something special, man.

Murray slides right on play-action and quickly finds the seam target, sets his feet, and makes this toss back to the side he slid from. He’s not a one-way guy when it comes to his arm talent and mobility – Murray is a truly dynamic player who can utilize both skills to make plays happen simultaneously.

Eye and timing maturity

Oklahoma’s offensive scheme isn’t overly complex, and quite often receivers get schemed open. That isn’t necessarily an issue for scouting OU quarterbacks, but it’s always something to think about when judging their game mentally. While Murray wasn’t tasked with making many full field reads, and frankly not much more than half-field and one read+checkdowns, his eye maturity to manipulate defenders gives us a solid idea of his football IQ. When noting this, a stroke of confidence in his ability to make mature reads at the next level arises.

Murray gets two deep routes to the right side here, with the left side getting shutdown pre-snap with two defenders over one receiver. When the slot defender moves inside at the snap for the linebacker to drop on the slot receiver, Murray knows he has a winning matchup – but he waits to throw this seam until he truly looks off the deep safety to the outside 9-route. The safety bites a bit but stays just patient enough to come back and make a play, so Murray gives him one more shake to the outside and the rep is over – the safety dedicates his hips to the sideline, the slot-seam is wide open – touchdown Sooners.

Murray understands the timing of the route combo in the middle of the field with the H-back running a go-route to draw the middle safety off of the in-route by Marquise “Hollywood” Brown. As soon as the safety turns on the go-route, which Murray looks off with eyes dedicated to the middle of the field, he hits Brown in a window he created with great timing and understanding of the route concept.

Once again, Murray stares the deep safety off towards the boundary comeback and does not begin this throw until the dedication to the sideline is there. The second that that happens, Murray’s quick and compact release paired with his fantastic accuracy and velocity do the rest of the work. This level of patience and maturity out of a one-year starting quarterback, especially in an offense like Oklahoma’s, is what makes Murray a special talent and gives a lot of hope to a team that wants to draft and develop him.

Smart football

Electric quarterbacks like Kyler Murray, more often than not, are risk-takers. While the good quarterbacks of that bunch often get rewarded for those risks, there’s plenty that pay consequences as well. Murray falls into the former category – while he’s an electric quarterback who now and then will take risks that normally pay off, he’s never reckless. He doesn’t try to make throws that he can’t make, and he’s smart with his body when utilizing his feet – which is a huge plus on film when grading out a guy of his stature.

Now, Oklahoma’s scheme didn’t offer Murray many checkdown looks in their fast-paced offense, as so many route concepts went to one side of the field, but when the opportunity to check down was to the concept-side, Murray took it when necessary. Murray keeps his eyes to the middle of the field as the the left outside receiver and right slot receiver run a deep crossing combo and the right boundary receiver runs a post. Murray wants to strike whichever deep route to the middle of the field opens, but pressure gets to him and he rolls right and finds his H-back check down in the flats. You don’t see this often in the OU offense as so many routes get schemed open, but against top defenses like Alabama’s, the awareness of the checkdown vs. pressure is reassuring.

Murray runs with elite speed for a quarterback and I expect him to place in the high-percentiles among NFL quarterbacks in the 40 yard dash at the NFL Combine. However, rather than getting risky with that speed in the middle of the field and to make defenders miss, Murray plays smart when he tucks and runs, typically navigating towards the sideline in order to have an escape from any oncoming defenders and to protect himself. He won’t take unnecessary hits, and while he’s quick to take advantage of rushing lanes, he understands his frame is miniscule compared to that of the average defender bee-lining their way towards him, and he plays smart.

Flashes of pocket poise, but not enough proof

While there are certainly examples of Murray playing with poise under pressure, including some reps against Alabama, his freedom to bail from the pocket after scanning his half-field reads due to lack of schematic complexity makes consistent pocket poise for traditional offense hard to judge in his game. There are certainly flashes of it when he had time to look off defenders, but not a ton of proof going across the full-field with pressure.

This is where NFL teams will be cautious. He’s proven that he will look to throw the ball before he runs in Oklahoma’s offense largely due to the lack of full-field progressions it calls for, thus shortening the time of his scan signifixantly. But if teams want to pigeon-hole him into their offense rather than adapt to a half-field read offense similar to OU’s, there’s room for concern based on the unknown. It’s a risk that teams will have to be willing to take when they consider drafting Murray.


What I’m sure you’ve been waiting on: Will Kyler Murray’s size affect him negatively at the next level?

I think it could go both ways, and once again, it depends on where Murray lands. If a team wants him to plug him into a West Coast style of offense that relies on the short middle of the field far more than taking shots and lettimg the QB move, Murray’s height really could lead to the generic “he can’t see over the linemen” stereotype being proven true. I hate that idea because there’s ways to avoid that, but if a team requires true pocket structure to operate their offense with strict 3-5 step drops and a quick release at the top of the drop, Murray simply isn’t their guy.

It didn’t show up much on tape because OU’s offense was far from what’s described above, but there were examples that gave me pause about Murray’s WCO fit at the next level. Typically, in a WCO, you want to lead your slant/crossers through the middle of the field to create yards after the catch. But when you’re 5-10 and struggling to create loft to put this ball more in the middle of the field, much less throwing over towering, lengthy defensive linemen on the top of your drop to that area of the field at the NFL level, you’ll struggle to hit those routes in stride. Murray throws this ball high and behind the receiver here without a true middle-of-the-field threat to throw away from. This needs to be thrown in stride.

In the Big 12, where Murray played, defense just isn’t played at the same level as divisions such as the SEC, or anything close to the size, speed, and toughness as the NFL. So sure, Murray’s five batted passes in 2018 is a great stat and goes to show his size didn’t hurt him as a passer much at all in college. But if he’s forced into a strictly structured throwing offense in the NFL, that number really will increase. He locks onto his slant in the clip below, and lengthy defensive end Anfernee Jennings from Alabama easily knocks the ball away.

Again, I really hate size stereotypes. If you can play, then in my book you can play. The stereotypes come from the generic, square-peg-in-round-hole mentality that has surrounded the NFL and NFL roster building for years. With recent evolution to the NFL passing offense, those stereotypes are finally starting to fade, but the team that selects Murray must be with, or get with, the times. They can’t try to mold him into their West Coast offense. He will thrive in a modern, spread out system that allows him to play with his mobility and to take shots down field and give him time to look off defenders, a skill he’s truly polished at. If he gets pigeonholed into, for lack of a better example, the style of offense the Jaguars ran for the past two seasons, I’m afraid Murray’s talent will go to waste.

Pros and Cons


  • Combination of arm strength and accuracy to all levels of the field is the best in this class
  • Velocity across the field is a plus
  • Excellent mobility, utilized to pass and to run
  • Disciplined thrower, calculates risks
  • Smart with body on run, prioritizes sideline and sliding when necessary
  • Eye maturity and patience to manipulate deep defenders
  • Throw timing in sync with route combos and what he sees post-snap


  • Slight frame, listed at 5-10, 195 lbs. 5-10, 205 lbs with 9.5″ hands would be a win at the Combine
  • Oklahoma offense lack complexity, lack of full-field progressions
  • Lack of complexity leads to less structure, NFL pocket poise projection is unknown
  • Height vs. NFL defensive line with make WCO short-MOF throws difficult to anticipate
  • Wouldn’t commit to football over baseball until last week – should be a red flag to teams about dedication


Kyler Murray is far and away the most exciting, polarizing quarterback in the 2019 NFL Draft class, and has a really bright future ahead of him in the NFL if he lands with a team that is willing to shape their offense completely around him. From understanding his size limitations and avoiding concepts that would infringe upon that, to utilizing his mobility to spread the field out and developing his pocket presence and full-field awareness slowly over time, Murray will require a ton of dedication from his landing spot in order to maximize his utmost potential.

The question is: Is Jacksonville that team? That question will be answered on draft night. If the offense they’ve run most recently is any indicator, then no, the Jaguars are not the right team for Kyler Murray. Their most recent offense revolves around West Coast concepts and true pocket structure, and Dwayne Haskins and his floor as a pocket passer fit that mold so much more than Murray.

However, if Jacksonville is ready to can their run-first-and-control-the-clock-through-a-West-Coast-passing-offense, and rather get innovative under new offensive coordinator John DeFilippo, then Murray makes a lot of sense. They’d have to shift to a more pass-happy, zone blocking offense where pass concepts are simplified and spread out across the field, and that would require totally new techniques and concepts at each and every position along the offense. It would point towards an offensive rebuild, quite frankly, but one that could pay huge dividends over time.

I just don’t believe the Jaguars are willing to sacrifice the talent they have on defense and the bit of potential they have in their starting offensive line unit (when healthy), as well as where receivers Dede Westrbook and D.J. Chark are in their development – and of course, take the L on their 4th overall pick of an investment in running back Leonard Fournette – in order to rebuild the offense around Kyler Murray. Especially when Dwayne Haskins fits exactly what they want to do.

But if the Jaguars do choose to follow the Kyler Murray route, then Jacksonville will be in for some really, really fun offense down the line. Just, not immediately.

Check out all of the Locked On Jaguars 2019 NFL Draft scouting profiles:

Dwayne Haskins

Drew Lock

Will Grier

Daniel Jones

Marquise “Hollywood” Brown

Zach Goodall covers the Jacksonville Jaguars for the Locked On Jaguars podcast and website. Follow him on Twitter @zach_goodall.

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Jaguars vs. Texans: Five observations, red zone issues remain

Demetrius Harvey



Nov 3, 2019; London, United Kingdom; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew (15) throws under pressure from the Houston Texans defensive line men during an NFL International Series game at Wembley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn--USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) will be left with a lot to work on during their bye week. There was plenty to gather from the team’s 26-3 loss against the Houston Texans (6-3) in London.

1. Jaguars red-zone woes are still prevalent and have no fix in sight

In the red zone this season, the Jaguars have completed 34.5% (10/29) of their opportunities for touchdowns.  This ranks only better than the Cincinnati Bengals (33.33%) in the entire NFL.

While quarterback play is an issue in this area, the Jaguars have not made the most of their play-call opportunities either. The Jaguars entered the Houston Texans’ red zone only twice in 11 drives on Sunday.

During the two drives in the red zone, the Jaguars completed 0 passes and ran the ball one other time with Leonard Fournette for three yards. Simply not good enough.

Jaguars’ offensive coordinator John DeFilippo has spoken about the team’s ineffectiveness on red zone opportunities. “We moved the football well, but we need to do a better job in the red zone,” DeFilippo said on Thursday following the team’s week seven victory over the Cincinnati Bengals. “I need to do a better job of helping our guys get open. We need to do a better job executing and being more detailed and throwing the ball on time and all of those things. Again, all of that starts with me, and I will do a better job with that.”

Two weeks later and the team’s struggles have continued.

2. Gardner Minshew might take a backseat

Already discussed, the Jaguars might be in for a quarterback change coming out of their week 10 bye week. Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew struggled mightily in Sunday’s game, and head coach Doug Marrone will have a tough decision to make.

Although Minshew was playing with a sore right shoulder, he was able to practice in full all week leading up to their matchup at Wimbley. Regardless, the Jaguars will have to make a decision, and everything points to Nick Foles being the team’s starting quarterback against the Indianapolis Colts in week 11.

Now completely Minshew’s fault, his struggles in the red zone have been evident for the past several weeks. Foles — during the 2017 and 2018 seasons when he started for the Philidelphia Eagles — was efficient in the red zone, which could point to his maturity as a passer more than anything.

The Jaguars will want to see what they can get out of their veteran quarterback, and there is a reason to believe the Jaguars’ head coach is leaning in this direction. If Foles is not named the starting quarterback next Sunday, it is very likely the veteran will never start for this Jaguars team, at least not under the current staff.

3. Jaguars’ run-defense regressed

Without starting nickel corner D.J. Hayden and SAM linebacker Leon Jacobs, the Jaguars were forced to remain in their nickel package for much of the day. Rookie cornerback Breon Borders replaced Hayden in the starting lineup and while he was not the reason why the run defense suffered, not having a competent linebacker on the strong side of the ball impacted the team greatly.

Texans’ running back Carlos Hyde gashed the Jaguars’ defense 19 times for 160 yards during Sunday’s matchup. Part of the reason why the Jaguars were unable to stop the Texans’ running game late was the sheer amount of plays the Texans ran to begin the game.

In the first quarter, the Texans ran 20 total plays while the Jaguars offense was only able to produce nine total plays.

4. Jaguars cannot rely on penalties, but two changed the course of the game

While the Jaguars should not, and cannot rely on penalties, the team had two costly controversial calls in the third quarter of Sunday’s matchup.

With an opportunity to score, Minshew threw a beautiful back-shoulder pass to Jaguars’ receiver DJ Chark Jr. who was able to haul in the pass but was called for offensive pass interference. A few plays later the Jaguars would botch a field goal attempt and give the Texans the football at the 50-yard line.

Following the change of possession, Jaguars’ defensive end Calais Campbell was called for a 15-yard unsportsmanlike conduct penalty. Specifically, Campbell was called for lowering his head to initiate contact with a defenseless rusher. The Texans would net only a field goal on this drive, but it was a potential 10-point swing as Chark’s interference call was questionable, and Campbell did not even touch Watson on the play.

5. Keelan Cole shines in Dede Westbrook’s absence

Although the Jaguars clearly missed their 1B receiver in Dede Westbrook, rarely-utilized receiver Keelan Cole was able to step up to the plate and put on his best performance of the season, and possibly since 2017.

While it was not sensational, Cole hauled in five out of six of his targets for 80 yards on the day. The Jaguars could not get anything going down the field, however, Cole was able to get open on routine crossing routes.

In the coming weeks, look for Cole to have a bigger role in the Jaguars offense, especially with veteran receiver Chris Conley playing so up-and-down (2 receptions on 7 targets for 32 yards).

DeFilippo recently spoke about Cole and understands the third-year receiver may be frustrated with his snap count.

“I am proud of the way he stayed in it and even though he has not gotten the playing time,” DeFilippo said after the Jaguars victory over Bengals. “Everyone wants to play every snap. I’m sure he wants [more playing time]. He has done a great job staying in it.”

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Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars to make tough decision next week, Minshew Mania over for now

Demetrius Harvey



Nov 3, 2019; London, United Kingdom; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Gardner Minshew (15) throws a pass in the first half against the Houston Texans during an NFL International Series game at Wembley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) were embarrassed early Sunday morning via a 26-3 loss to the rival Houston Texans (6-3). Minshew-Mania may be over for now, but it won’t be the last time the rookie sensation starts for the team.

To put it simply, rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew did not play well at all yesterday. Completing 27/47 (57%) of his passes for 309 yards, two interceptions, and two fumbles lost, Minshew looked lost during the second half of the game on Sunday.

Minshew has been everything the team could have hoped for — and much more — out of a sixth-round quarterback, but between what transpired yesterday, and a few of his past performances — against winning teams –, the Jaguars will likely see what they can get out of veteran quarterback Nick Foles.

For three quarters, Minshew looked okay. While there was plenty that went wrong, the rookie was able to make key throws, during key situations. One play, in particular, stands out. With a little over five minutes left in the second quarter, the Jaguars could not seem to get anything going before Minshew scrambles around and eventually finds a wide-open Ryquell Armstead in the middle of the field. Armstead would take the ball 31 yards and set the team up for their only points of the game.

Minshew’s ability to improvise has been his bread and butter this season, and although he was not able to work his magic often against the Texans, these were the types of plays that gave pause in the Minshew/Foles debate.

During the fourth quarter, the Jaguars and Minshew were forced to take more shots downfield in a sort of desperation move while trailing 19-3. Although playcalling can certainly be questioned, the decision making of the Jaguars’ rookie quarterback was equally perplexing. Throwing two interceptions and losing two fumbles, Minshew had no chance at making a little magic to lead the team to another come-from-behind victory.

Jaguars’ head coach Doug Marrone will be forced to make a decision on his quarterback, but not right now. After the game, Marrone indicated he will wait until the Sunday before the team returns from their week 10 bye week to talk to both quarterbacks.

“I think after those 48 hours are over, I’m going to step away a little bit, take a break because I don’t have to make a decision and have time,” Marrone said shortly after the game when asked about making the quarterback decision. “That’s what I’m going to talk to the quarterbacks about, and then I’ll tell them probably right before we come back on Sunday, we’ll be able to discuss where we’re going to go. That’s pretty much my plan.”

While Minshew did not have a great game yesterday, the decision will be made on more than just one game, Marrone said.

The Jaguars’ head coach is stuck with an incredibly tough decision. At 4-5, the team needs a spark. The Jaguars need to win down the stretch and having to rely on a rookie — still going through ups and downs — is exhausting. While Foles may not be “the answer”, he is the only other option at this moment, and the Jaguars absolutely believe in the veteran.

Although this may be the end of Minshew starting in Jacksonville this season, his achievements — 188/307 (61%) completions for 2,285 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions — should not go unnoticed. The team absolutely still believes in the rookie quarterback, and he has a golden opportunity — if not this season — next year to prove everyone wrong.

One of the best, most fun performances out of a Jaguars’ quarterback over the first half of the season ever, is nothing to get upset about. Minshew provided spectators with Minshew-Mania, Minshew-Magic, and any other Minshew-ism one can think of.

For now, it is very likely Foles will make his Jaguars’ debut once again after breaking his left clavicle during the opening game of the season. In 11 plays this season Foles completed five out of eight of his passes for 75 yards and a touchdown.

It may be over for now, but this is just the beginning, and having the problem of deciding between a former Superbowl MVP and a rookie sensation at quarterback is a good thing. Depending on how Foles plays — if he is to be named the starter next Sunday –, Minshew could get yet another opportunity as the Jaguars progress from their 4-5 record.

Bonus clip:

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Jaguars fail to seize opportunity in London, falling 26-3 to Houston Texans

Demetrius Harvey



Nov 3, 2019; London, United Kingdom; Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) rushes for a first down during the first half of the game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans during an NFL International Series game at Wembley Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn--USA TODAY Sports

Jacksonville Jaguars (4-5) fell to Houston Texans (6-3) in a disappointing pre-bye week game in London, England. The Jaguars absolutely did not have home-field advantage on the day. 

The Jaguars took to their annual London voyage with a lot of optimism, however, all of that optimism was quickly quieted by the Houston Texans (6-3) as they were able to bottle up Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars, holding the team to just three points on the day.  The Texans would win 26-3 and kill any chances the Jaguars may have had at earning the division title in a few weeks.

To begin the game, the Jaguars opted to start out on defense with the Texans struggling early on in games this season. Holding the Texans to just three points to start the game, the Jaguars defense showed up big, especially as Jaguars’ cornerback A.J. Bouye shadowed Texans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins who finished with just eight receptions for 48 yards. The Jaguars seemed to find a groove early on during the first half of the game, but their inability to score in the red zone reared it’s head yet again.

In what is likely his last game starting for the Jaguars this season — at least for now — Jaguars’ rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew completed just 27 out of 47 of his passes for 309 yards and two interceptions. Minshew also fumbled the football two times near the end of the game, which would ultimately end it at Wembley stadium.

While the Jaguars defense played well early on, they stood no chance against Texans’ quarterback Deshaun Watson who completed 22 out of 28 of his passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. Extremely elusive, Watson was able to escape from the Jaguars pass rushers all day long. The Texans effectively ended any chance of the Jaguars coming back after Watson completed a long throw to Hopkins for 21 yards to the Jaguars’ one-yard line. The Texans would score on a one-yard run by Duke Johnson putting the team up 19-3 late in the third quarter.

All four of Minshew’s turnovers would come in the fourth quarter as the Jaguars attempted to climb back in the game. Missing their second-most targetted wide receiver in Dede Westbrook, the Jaguars and Minshew couldn’t seem to get anything going in the passing game.

The Jaguars’ run game was equally disappointing today as running back Leonard Fournette could only edge out 40 yards on 11 rushes.

Perhaps the best play of the game by the Jaguars’ defense, near the end of the game Texans’ running back Carlos Hyde sprinted free and was looking to go into the endzone when Jaguars’ safety Jarrod Wilson showed incredible hustle to force a fumble at the last second, turning the ball over to the Jaguars’ offense.

The good fortune wouldn’t last long, however, as Minshew would go on to throw his final interception of the game to completely seal the game for the Texans offense.

The Jaguars’ offense simply did not get anything going today, similar to their game against the New Orleans Saints in week six earlier this year. Minshew was sacked only four times on the day as the Texans did not want him to escape the pocket.

The team will have a very tough decision to make during their week 10 bye week. Ultimately, the team will need to decide between veteran quarterback Nick Foles or the rookie quarterback in Minshew.

Jaguars’ head coach Doug Marrone will be making the decision, and after falling 26-3 today largely due to the play of the team’s quarterback, it may be a no-brainer.

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